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According towards the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, this year’s seasonal flu vaccine has only been 44 per cent powerful. And depending on how you look in the effectiveness in the different strains, it would appear overall to be the least successful vaccine for since the 1997-98 flu season when the vaccine effectiveness was essentially zero, the CDC told a press conference.
The 44 per cent effectiveness figure comes from a CDC study whose findings are published in this week’s issue of the federal agency’s Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report (MMWR), dated 17th April 2008.
The 44 per cent figure will be the overall vaccine effectiveness for influenza type A (H3N2), and influenza type B. Type A H3N2 constitutes the majority of the strains circulating so far this year.
When broken down, the effectiveness of the trivalent inactivated vaccine (flu shot) in preventing medically attended laboratory confirmed influenza for type A (H3N2) was discovered to be 58 per cent, but for type B the effectiveness was found to be zero. So this year, the vaccine has essentially offered no protection against the type B strain.
The study was carried out at the CDC Marshfield clinic in Wisconsin, involving patients enrolled from January 21st to February 8th of 2008 who lived in and about Marshfield, Wisconsin.
Dr Dan Jernigan, Deputy Director, CDC Influenza Division, National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Illnesses (NCIRD), briefed reporters in a web conference yesterday.
He stated that most of the flu viruses circulating this year have been “less than optimally matched to the viruses inside the vaccine”. He said the main strains circulating this year had been type A H3N2, type A H1N1, and type B. He said that type A H3N2 constituted the majority of the strains circulating this year, and within those, 70 per cent had been a series of strains referred to as A-Brisbane10/ 2007.
Jernigan said that although the Brisbane strain had “drifted”, it was still “somewhat related” to A-Wisconsin strain, which is in this year’s vaccine. Of the type B, over 90 per cent are of the B Florida strain, which belongs to the Yamagada lineage, that is quite various to the Victoria lineage that is in this year’s flu vaccine.
The figure of 44 per cent means that the individuals inside the study who received this year’s flu shot were 44 per cent much less likely to have laboratory diagnosed influenza than those inside the study who did not receive the flu shot. This figure is high enough to justify continuing to promote the public well being message that people should be vaccinated, stated Jernigan.
However, he pointed out that due to the fact of the much less than optimal level of protection offered by the vaccine this year, health professionals along with the public must consider taking what he known as the “three pronged approach” to protect against the flu this year.
The “three pronged approach” consists of 1st, get vaccinated, second take each and every day precautions such as covering your cough and washing your hands to prevent spreading of germs, and third, take anti-viral drugs, as suggested by your doctor.
Jernigan warned that if the B strains become dominant within the rest of this season, health care professionals should be prepared for an increased risk of vaccine failure and consider using anti-virals earlier to treat and avoid illness in folks at higher risk of flu complications.
The Wisconsin study mentioned within the MMWR report was based on laboratory information, that is only part of the picture when assessing the effectiveness of the vaccine. Jernigan stated the CDC was beginning to get early figures that showed “substantial cross protection against the predominant virus within the United States this season”, and this showed that “continuing to promote vaccination is beneficial even when some of the laboratory information may well indicate a much less than optimum match”.
A record number of Americans had been vaccinated against the flu this year. About 113 million doses of flu vaccine had been delivered by drug firms in the US this year, more than ever before, and about 10 million more doses than last season, Dr Jeanne Santoli, Deputy Director, CDC Immunization Services Division, NCIRD told the news conference.
At the peak of the season this year, which was around the middle of February, flu deaths peaked to reach 9.1 per cent of all deaths in the US. This is similar to 4 years ago, when during the 2003-2004 season, flu deaths peaked at 10.4 per cent of all US deaths.
The flu epidemic is nonetheless ongoing inside the US, with six states, Connecticut, Maine, Maryland, New York, Pennsylvania, and Vermont, still experiencing widespread infection.
The strains included in a seasonal flu vaccine are decided each year, when globe authorities get together to anticipate the strains of flu that are most likely to circulate the globe within the coming flu season.
But, due to the fact of the lead times to produce the hundreds of millions of vaccine doses needed worldwide, it means the authorities must make the decision about the most likely strains months before we know which strains will really be circulating by the time the flu comes around. And during that time the risk is the fact that things can go very differently. Flu viruses mutate and the balance among the strains changes.
So there are “good” years, when the vaccine strains match the circulating strains (these are when the match is about 70 per cent efficient) and there are bad years, when the match can even be zero for some subtypes.
Depending on how you appear in the vaccine’s effectiveness, for instance taking just the overall vaccine effectiveness figure, it appears that this year’s effectiveness is the lowest since the 1997-1998 season, when overall effectiveness was about 50 per cent. This emerged during a question and answer session between Jernigan and reporters.
“Interim Within-Season Estimate of the Effectiveness of Trivalent Inactivated Influenza Vaccine – Marshfield, Wisconsin, 2007-08 Influenza Season.”
Centers for Illness Control and Prevention.
Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report (MMWR), 17 April 2008.
Click here for CDC.
Source: CDC MMWR report, CDC web conference transcript (17 April).
Written by: Catharine Paddock, PhD
Copyright: Medical News Today
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